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Inquiry reports

1999

 


Cendant Corporation and RAC Holdings Limited: A report on the merger situation

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Summary



We were asked to investigate the proposed acquisition of RAC Motoring Services Limited (RACMS), the former motoring services arm of the Royal Automobile Club (the Club), by Cendant Corporation (Cendant), a US company (see Appendix 1.1 for our terms of reference).

RACMS's principal business is the provision of insured break-down services for light vehicles. Its forecast revenue for 1998 is around £300 million and its break-down services operation covers some 5.5 million vehicles. Most of its breakdown call-outs are dealt with by a directly employed, liveried patrol force and the remain-der by a network of independent garage contractors.

Cendant was formed in 1997 by a merger between two quoted US companies, HFS Inc (HFS) and CUC International Inc (CUC). In that year it had sales of some $4.2 billion (£2.5 billion) (as restated following the accounting adjustments referred to in para-graph 1.11). Its operations derived from HFS consist primarily of manag-ing a port-folio of consumer brands in the hotel, travel and property industries, the businesses themselves being largely operated by franchisees. The former CUC business is known as alliance marketing and chiefly involves the marketing of port-folios of products and services to the members of different programmes. Soon after the merger between HFS and CUC, Cendant acquired the UK company National Parking Corporation Limited, which owns National Car Parks Limited and Green Flag Group Limited (Green Flag), a breakdown organization.

In April 1998 the RAC group put RACMS up for sale. After an auction which attracted a good deal of interest, Cendant emerged as the preferred buyer and on 21 May it was announced that Cendant had agreed to acquire RACMS for £450 million. In order to effect the sale in a tax-efficient way the RAC group reorganized itself. It set up a new holding company for RACMS, RAC Holdings Limited (RAC Holdings), the shares in which were distributed to the 12,000 full members of the Club. In August 1998 the members of RAC Holdings voted to approve a scheme of arrangement providing for the share capital of the company to be sold to Cendant. The scheme of arrangement is subject to satis-factory clear-ance by the competition authorities.

We consider that the supply of insured breakdown services for light vehicles in the UK is a single economic market. There are, how-ever, significant differences between the various sales channels:

(a) direct retail, where breakdown organizations sell directly to individuals: these sales have been falling as a proportion of the whole market but still represent over 70 per cent of total sales revenue;

(b) intermediary schemes, where an intermediary body buys breakdown services whole-sale from a breakdown organization and sells them to its customers or members on an unbundled basis;

(c) so-called mandatory schemes, where a financial institution buys breakdown services wholesale and sells them to its customers bundled with motor insur-ance;

(d) motor manufacturer schemes, where a motor car manufacturer buys break-down services wholesale and sells them to its customers bundled with the sale of a new or (less commonly) used car; and

(e) fleet sales, where a fleet operator buys breakdown services wholesale for the benefit of the users of its vehicles, whether externally insured or self-insured.

We see the first two of these channels, where the motorist chooses which product to acquire, as forming a distinct segment of the market, which we refer to as the discre-tionary segment. Of the non-discretionary channels we see motor manufacturer schemes and fleet sales as forming a single segment, with mandatory schemes as a separate small segment. The divi-sions are not always clear-cut, however; in particu-lar, mandatory schemes have some features in common with intermediary schemes.

Estimates of market shares in 1998, measured by sales revenue, show that the Automobile Association (AA) is by far the biggest supplier with 48 per cent of total sales. RACMS is the second biggest with 29 per cent and Green Flag the third big-gest with 12 per cent. None of the other suppliers has more than 3.5 per cent. Shares of the discretionary segment as a whole are similar but in direct retail alone the AA's share is even higher, 59 per cent, with RACMS on 29 per cent and Green Flag on 6 per cent. The AA, like RACMS, has its own patrol force but most other suppliers, including Green Flag, use only independent contractors to deal with call-outs.

The parties submitted that, in the direct retail channel, Green Flag was not an effec-tive competitor to the two long-established, patrol-based operators. The merger would benefit competition by creating a stronger second force to compete with the AA. Cendant would pre-serve consumer choice by maintaining both the RAC and Green Flag brands. Moreover the market was dynamic: recent and prospective entrants were well placed to provide compe-tition, and direct retail customers could switch to intermediaries to take advan-tage of their buyer power.

In our view Green Flag is an important competitive force in the discretionary segment and its loss as an independent third force would significantly weaken compe-tition. Moreover RACMS has great strengths and we expect that, managed in a commercial manner, it will be able to compete successfully with the AA whether the merger goes ahead or not. Some of the other suppliers are potentially effective competitors in their chosen areas but in view of the history of the industry we do not expect that they would be able quickly to attain a position comparable with that achieved by Green Flag. The market is highly concentrated and the merger would make it more so. The merged group would in our view be able to dominate the intermediary sales channel. We expect that, in the longer term, the relationship between the AA and the merged group would become duopolistic and that their shared interest in main-taining a high-priced market would prevail.

We believe the merger would have effects in the mandatory segment broadly similar to those in the inter-mediary channel.

Motor car manufacturers, however, are in a strong position as buyers and there is an effective third force in the shape of Mondial Assistance (UK) Limited. We believe that fleet buyers would be able to seek out alternative sources of supply if necessary. We there-fore have no major concerns about the merger's impact in this segment.

Shortly after Cendant was formed it discovered that there had been fraudu-lent accounting in former CUC businesses which had substan-tially overstated CUC's profits. Cendant appointed independent inves-tigators to look into the matter. It sub-sequently agreed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission that new accounts should be prepared covering 1995 to 1997 and these were filed at the end of September 1998. We have carefully considered the ramifications of these events. Whilst doubts remain as to the consequences of out-standing lawsuits, in our view these doubts are not such as to justify a conclusion that Cendant would be an unsuitable acquirer of RACMS.

We consider that the overall effect of the merger would be on balance to weaken competition and that this would have adverse consequences in the medium to long term. There is the prospect of some efficiency gains but the benefits are unlikely to be passed on to consumers. In any event they are, in our view, out-weighed by the harm which the merger would cause to competition. We conclude that the merger would be against the public interest in that, in the supply of insured breakdown services for light vehicles, prices would be higher, service quality lower and inno-vation reduced compared with the situation which would otherwise exist. These adverse effects would apply in the discretionary and mandatory segments of the market, which together account for 85 per cent of total revenue from the supply of insured breakdown services.

We do not believe that there are any behavioural undertakings which could remedy the loss of the dynamic benefits of competition: the only adequate remedy is for RACMS and Green Flag to be kept in separate ownership. [Details omitted. See note on page iv.]

We therefore recommend that before acquiring RACMS, Cendant should undertake to divest Green Flag, in a manner and to a party approved by the Director General of Fair Trading, such divestment to take place within six months of the undertaking being given. If Cendant is not prepared to give such an undertaking, the merger should be prohibited.








Full text



Contents

Part I

Summary and Conclusions

Chapter 1 Summary
Chapter 2 Conclusions

Part II

Background and evidence

Chapter 3 The merger situation and the companies involved
Chapter 4 The relevant markets
Chapter 5 Views of third parties
Chapter 6 Views of the main parties
  List of signatories

Appendices

 
(The numbering of the appendices indicates the chapters to which they relate)
1.1 Terms of reference and conduct of the inquiry
3.1 Green Flag: profit and loss accounts, 1995/96 to 1998/99
3.2 Green Flag: balance sheets, 1996 to 1999
3.3 RACMS: profit and loss accounts, 1995 to 1998
3.4 RACMS: balance sheets, 1995 to 1998
3.5 Cendant: profit and loss accounts, 1995 to 1998
3.6 Cendant: balance sheets, 1996 to 1998
4.1 Insurance regulation as it affects the supply of insured breakdown services
4.2 Categories of insured breakdown services provided by the AA, RACMS and Green Flag and their current prices
4.3 The consumer
4.4 Breakdown organizations: estimated market shares by sales channel
Glossary  



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